GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/11/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zira · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sheriff Tiraspol are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Zira are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zira hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (33.4 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Zira holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zira

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Zira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheriff TiraspolWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ZiraWWWLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sheriff TiraspolZira
8.3Attack33.3
50.0Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
33.4Power53.0
1.11xG1.30
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