Sheriff Tiraspolvs
Utrecht
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/24/2025, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utrecht · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sheriff Tiraspol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Utrecht are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Utrecht hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (33.4 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Utrecht holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Utrecht
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Utrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00