Sheriff Tiraspolvs
Sireți
COMPLETEDMoldova · Super Liga · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Sheriff Tiraspol 2-0 Sireți, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sheriff Tiraspol 2-0 Sireți
Original prediction
Sheriff Tiraspol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.05 | 87.3% | 87.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 8.43 | 10.9% | 9.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 52.75 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Sheriff Tiraspol 2–0 Sireți
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sheriff Tiraspol
Probability
87.5%
Model confidence
87.5%
Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20