GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/26/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sheriff Tiraspol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Servette FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheriff Tiraspol hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (33.4 v 29.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sheriff Tiraspol holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sheriff Tiraspol

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheriff TiraspolWDLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Servette FCWWLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sheriff TiraspolServette FC
8.3Attack22.2
50.0Defence27.8
33.3Form27.8
33.4Power29.7
1.64xG0.95
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