Sheriff Tiraspolvs
Politehnica UTM
SCHEDULEDMoldova · Super Liga · 8/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Sheriff Tiraspol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Politehnica UTM are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and sheriff Tiraspol hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (77.0 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely result in the Super Liga, favouring Sheriff Tiraspol with 10.6% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sheriff Tiraspol
Probability
73.4%
Model confidence
10.6%
Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60