Sheriff Tiraspolvs
Petrocub
COMPLETEDMoldova · Super Liga · 9/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sheriff Tiraspol 2-2 Petrocub
Original prediction
Sheriff Tiraspol
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 51.7% | 53.5% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.7% | 24.5% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.58 | 19.6% | 22.0% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Sheriff Tiraspol
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00