GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/25/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IF Elfsborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sheriff Tiraspol are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while IF Elfsborg are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Elfsborg hold a 25.4-point power-rating edge (33.4 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while IF Elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IF Elfsborg

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheriff TiraspolWLWLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IF ElfsborgWWWWW

GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Sheriff TiraspolIF Elfsborg
8.3Attack50.0
50.0Defence62.5
33.3Form60.4
33.4Power58.8
0.90xG1.45
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