GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/18/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sheriff Tiraspol are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Farul Constanta are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheriff Tiraspol hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the UEFA Champions League, while Sheriff Tiraspol holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sheriff Tiraspol

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheriff TiraspolLLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Farul ConstantaWWLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Sheriff TiraspolFarul Constanta
41.7Attack16.7
58.3Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.5Power42.7
1.53xG1.14
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