GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 8/20/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Sheriff Tiraspol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dacia-Buiucani are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheriff Tiraspol hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (77.7 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.0% in the Super Liga, while Sheriff Tiraspol holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sheriff Tiraspol

Probability

75.0%

Model confidence

75.0%

Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheriff TiraspolDWWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dacia-BuiucaniLLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.33/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Sheriff TiraspolDacia-Buiucani
76.2Attack47.6
76.2Defence38.1
81.0Form42.9
77.7Power43.1
2.96xG0.90
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