Sheriff Tiraspolvs
CSF Bălți
COMPLETEDMoldova · Super Liga · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Sheriff Tiraspol 4-0 CSF Bălți, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sheriff Tiraspol 7-0 CSF Bălți
Original prediction
Sheriff Tiraspol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.02 | 90.1% | 94.0% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 12.70 | 7.3% | 4.6% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 34.80 | 2.6% | 1.4% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
Sheriff Tiraspol 4–0 CSF Bălți
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Sheriff Tiraspol
Probability
94.0%
Model confidence
94.0%
Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 1 · GA 19 · avg 0.20/3.80