Sheriff TiraspolvsBate Borisov

Sheriff Tiraspol are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bate Borisov are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheriff Tiraspol hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (33.4 v 25.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sheriff Tiraspol holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.