Sheriff Tiraspolvs
AS Roma
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/21/2023, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Sheriff Tiraspol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AS Roma are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (33.4 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40