GGOALVIO

China · League One · 3/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shenzhen Juniors are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shaanxi Union are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen Juniors hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenzhen JuniorsWDLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shaanxi UnionWLDWD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Shenzhen JuniorsShaanxi Union
51.9Attack50.0
61.1Defence68.5
59.3Form48.1
57.8Power54.9
1.06xG1.05
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