Shenzhen Juniorsvs
Meizhou Kejia
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shenzhen Juniors · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shenzhen Juniors 5-1 Meizhou Kejia
Original prediction
Shenzhen Juniors
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.4% | 73.9% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 20.6% | 16.7% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 6.51 | 14.0% | 9.4% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Shenzhen Juniors
Probability
73.9%
Model confidence
73.9%
Shenzhen Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00