Shenzhen Juniorsvs
Guangzhou E-Power
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangzhou E-Power · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shenzhen Juniors 1-4 Guangzhou E-Power
Original prediction
Guangzhou E-Power
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.1% | 29.9% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.0% | 27.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 34.9% | 42.8% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Guangzhou E-Power
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Guangzhou E-Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80