GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/25/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen Juniors · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Shenzhen Juniors are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dongguan United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen Juniors hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.7% in the League One, while Shenzhen Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen Juniors

Probability

70.7%

Model confidence

70.7%

Shenzhen Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenzhen JuniorsWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Dongguan UnitedLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shenzhen JuniorsDongguan United
51.9Attack35.2
61.1Defence35.2
59.3Form20.4
57.8Power32.6
2.34xG0.69
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