Shenzhen Juniorsvs
Dalian Huayi
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shenzhen Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shenzhen Juniors 1-1 Dalian Huayi
Original prediction
Shenzhen Juniors
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.4% | 60.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.1% | 22.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 5.15 | 17.5% | 17.4% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Shenzhen Juniors
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Shenzhen Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20