Shenzhen Juniorsvs
Changchun Yatai
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shenzhen Juniors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shenzhen Juniors 1-1 Changchun Yatai
Original prediction
Shenzhen Juniors
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.3% | 60.6% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.1% | 20.9% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.35 | 20.6% | 18.5% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Shenzhen Juniors
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Shenzhen Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00