Shenzhen 2028vs
Xi'an Ronghai
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/13/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shenzhen 2028 0-0 Xi'an Ronghai, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shenzhen 2028 1-0 Xi'an Ronghai
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.2% | 35.9% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.8% | 31.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.0% | 32.8% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Projected Score
Shenzhen 2028 0–0 Xi'an Ronghai
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Shenzhen 2028LDWLW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Xi'an RonghaiDLWWW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Shenzhen 2028Xi'an Ronghai
56.1Attack43.9
62.1Defence74.2
56.1Form60.6
58.1Power60.9
0.92xG0.92