Shenzhen 2028vs
Shandong Taishan II
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/6/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shenzhen 2028 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shenzhen 2028 0-0 Shandong Taishan II, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shenzhen 2028 0-2 Shandong Taishan II
Original prediction
Shenzhen 2028
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 40.8% | 37.4% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.8% | 30.8% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.4% | 31.8% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Projected Score
Shenzhen 2028 0–0 Shandong Taishan II
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Shenzhen 2028
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Shenzhen 2028 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20