GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 5/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen 2028 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Shenzhen 2028 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Jiangxi Liansheng are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen 2028 hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the League Two, while Shenzhen 2028 holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen 2028

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

15.8%

Shenzhen 2028 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenzhen 2028WWWDL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Jiangxi LianshengDLWWL

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Shenzhen 2028Jiangxi Liansheng
60.0Attack40.0
61.7Defence71.7
60.0Form53.3
60.5Power56.8
1.10xG0.83
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