GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 5/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guizhou Zhucheng · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Shenzhen 2028 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Guizhou Zhucheng are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guizhou Zhucheng hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the League Two, while Guizhou Zhucheng holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guizhou Zhucheng

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

14.8%

Guizhou Zhucheng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenzhen 2028LWWWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Guizhou ZhuchengWWWLL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shenzhen 2028Guizhou Zhucheng
60.0Attack53.3
61.7Defence71.7
60.0Form66.7
60.5Power63.9
1.08xG1.13
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