Shenzhen 2028vs
Dalian Kewei
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/25/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shenzhen 2028 0-0 Dalian Kewei, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shenzhen 2028 1-1 Dalian Kewei
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 19:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.3% | 32.7% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.2% | 32.7% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 39.5% | 34.6% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.98 · Draw 1.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Projected Score
Shenzhen 2028 0–0 Dalian Kewei
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.7%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Shenzhen 2028LLLDW
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dalian KeweiWDWDW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shenzhen 2028Dalian Kewei
48.1Attack34.6
63.0Defence79.0
50.6Form59.3
54.3Power60.2
0.73xG0.71