GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yunnan Yukun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shenyang Urban are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Yunnan Yukun are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Yunnan Yukun hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Super League, while Yunnan Yukun holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yunnan Yukun

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Yunnan Yukun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenyang UrbanLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Yunnan YukunLDWLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Shenyang UrbanYunnan Yukun
44.4Attack65.2
47.6Defence37.9
38.1Form47.0
44.0Power51.5
1.75xG1.93
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