Shenyang Urbanvs
Wuhan Three Towns
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/11/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shenyang Urban · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shenyang Urban 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns
Original prediction
Shenyang Urban
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 41.8% | 38.7% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.8% | 24.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 33.4% | 37.1% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Shenyang Urban
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Shenyang Urban has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60