Super LeagueSuper League
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 15:02
Shenyang Urban

Shenyang Urban

Home
D
15
Full time
Shandong Luneng

Shandong Luneng

Away
WL
Olympic Sports Centre Stadium
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Shenyang Urban(43%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Shandong Luneng
Win probability
Shenyang Urban
43%
Draw
24%
Shandong Luneng
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Shenyang Urban
34
Shandong Luneng
73
Defence
Shenyang Urban
66
Shandong Luneng
14
Momentum
Shenyang Urban
33
Shandong Luneng
50
Danger (xG)
Shenyang Urban
0.90
Shandong Luneng
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Shenyang Urban)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Shandong Luneng)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Shenyang Urban)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Shandong Luneng)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban
DLD
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
WLWW

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Shenyang Urban43%
Draw24%
Shandong Luneng33%

Shenyang Urban leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Shenyang Urban head into this in Super League fixture at Olympic Sports Centre Stadium in mixed form (D), while Shandong Luneng arrive in mixed form (WL). Shenyang Urban have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Shandong Luneng over 2 games.

The model rates Shenyang Urban's attack at 34/100 against a 14/100 Shandong Luneng defence, and Shandong Luneng's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Shenyang Urban backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Shenyang Urban have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 5.0 conceded per home match. Shandong Luneng have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

Shandong Luneng have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 6.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Shenyang Urban to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Shenyang Urban 4320%, Draw 2350%, Shandong Luneng 3340%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Shenyang Urban 0Draws 01 Shandong Luneng
Avg goals: 6.0BTTS in 1/1
27 Jun 2026
Shenyang Urban
L15
Shandong Luneng

Recent form

Shenyang Urban

Shenyang Urban

D
@ Beijing Guoan
17 Jul 2026
11
L
vs Shandong Luneng
27 Jun 2026
15
D
@ Wuhan Three Towns
16 May 2026
22
Shandong Luneng

Shandong Luneng

W
vs Yunnan Yukun
10 Jul 2026
43
L
@ Beijing Guoan
4 Jul 2026
02
W
@ Shenyang Urban
27 Jun 2026
51
W
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
16 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Shenyang Urban vs Shandong Luneng?

GoalVio's model predicts Shenyang Urban to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Shenyang Urban vs Shandong Luneng?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Shenyang Urban vs Shandong Luneng?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Shenyang Urban vs Shandong Luneng?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more