Shenyang Urbanvs
Hangzhou Greentown
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shenyang Urban · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shenyang Urban 2-4 Hangzhou Greentown
Original prediction
Shenyang Urban
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 47.4% | 40.8% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.8% | 23.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.8% | 35.4% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Shenyang Urban
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Shenyang Urban has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40