GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/4/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shenyang Urban are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Beijing Guoan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenyang UrbanWLLWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Beijing GuoanDLWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shenyang UrbanBeijing Guoan
44.4Attack60.3
47.6Defence57.1
38.1Form54.0
44.0Power58.1
1.19xG1.82
View match centre →