Shelbournevs
Waterford
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 5/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shelbourne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shelbourne are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Waterford are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shelbourne hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Premier Division, while Shelbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shelbourne
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
12.0%
Shelbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20