Shelbournevs
Sligo Rovers
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 10/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shelbourne · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shelbourne 1-0 Sligo Rovers, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shelbourne 5-1 Sligo Rovers
Original prediction
Shelbourne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 72.5% | 66.1% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.42 | 17.1% | 21.1% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 8.86 | 10.4% | 12.7% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.4 pts
Projected Score
Shelbourne 1–0 Sligo Rovers
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Shelbourne
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
Shelbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ShelbourneDWLLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sligo RoversLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ShelbourneSligo Rovers
43.8Attack25.0
53.1Defence43.8
41.7Form24.0
49.1Power33.7
1.65xG0.63