GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/12/2025, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shelbourne · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shelbourne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while HNK Rijeka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.8 against 47.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Shelbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shelbourne

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Shelbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ShelbourneDWWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HNK RijekaDLWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ShelbourneHNK Rijeka
50.0Attack16.7
33.3Defence75.0
50.0Form41.7
47.8Power47.4
1.27xG1.14
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