Premier DivisionPremier Division
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 12:33
Shelbourne

Shelbourne

Home
D
21
Full time
Dundalk

Dundalk

Away
W
Tolka Park
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Shelbourne(38%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Shelbourne
Win probability
Shelbourne
38%
Draw
27%
Dundalk
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Shelbourne
73
Dundalk
94
Defence
Shelbourne
27
Dundalk
66
Momentum
Shelbourne
33
Dundalk
100
Danger (xG)
Shelbourne
1.80
Dundalk
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Shelbourne)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Dundalk)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Shelbourne)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Dundalk)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ShelbourneShelbourne
DWDDW
DundalkDundalk
WLLLW

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Shelbourne38%
Draw27%
Dundalk34%

Shelbourne leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Shelbourne head into this in Premier Division fixture at Tolka Park in mixed form (D), while Dundalk arrive in mixed form (W). Shelbourne have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Dundalk over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Shelbourne (73/100) and Dundalk (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Shelbourne have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Dundalk have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

Shelbourne have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Shelbourne to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Shelbourne 3830%, Draw 2730%, Dundalk 3440%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Shelbourne 1Draws 00 Dundalk
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
3 Jul 2026
Shelbourne
W21
Dundalk

Recent form

Shelbourne

Shelbourne

D
@ Kerry
17 Jul 2026
22
W
vs Dundalk
3 Jul 2026
21
D
@ Sligo Rovers
27 Jun 2026
22
D
@ Drogheda United
19 Jun 2026
22
W
@ St Patrick's Athl.
15 May 2026
10
Dundalk

Dundalk

W
@ St Mochta's
17 Jul 2026
31
L
vs Drogheda United
10 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Shelbourne
3 Jul 2026
12
L
vs Waterford
26 Jun 2026
23
W
vs Shamrock Rovers
15 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Shelbourne vs Dundalk?

GoalVio's model predicts Shelbourne to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Dundalk?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Shelbourne vs Dundalk?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Shelbourne vs Dundalk?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more