Shelbournevs
Dundalk
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 4/3/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shelbourne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shelbourne are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dundalk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.9 against 50.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Premier Division, while Shelbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shelbourne
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Shelbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40