Shelbournevs
Drogheda United
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 9/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shelbourne · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shelbourne 1-2 Drogheda United
Original prediction
Shelbourne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 50.1% | 50.7% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.6% | 24.9% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 23.3% | 24.4% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Shelbourne
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Shelbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40