Sheffield Wednesdayvs
Wigan
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Wednesday · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 Wigan
Original prediction
Sheffield Wednesday
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 56.4% | 64.2% | 7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.6% | 19.6% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 4.66 | 20.0% | 16.2% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Wednesday
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
Sheffield Wednesday has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00