Sheffield Wednesdayvs
Stockport County
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Wednesday · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 Stockport County
Original prediction
Sheffield Wednesday
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 32.5% | 47.3% | 14.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.4% | 22.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 42.2% | 29.9% | -12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Wednesday
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Sheffield Wednesday has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 18 · GA 10 · avg 3.60/2.00