GGOALVIO

England · League Cup · 8/8/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheffield Wednesday · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sheffield Wednesday are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Stockport County are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheffield Wednesday hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the League Cup, while Sheffield Wednesday holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sheffield Wednesday

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Sheffield Wednesday has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheffield WednesdayLLLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Stockport CountyLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sheffield WednesdayStockport County
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
48.3Power45.3
1.40xG1.18
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