Sheffield Wednesdayvs
AFC Wimbledon
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Wednesday · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 AFC Wimbledon, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sheffield Wednesday 5-0 AFC Wimbledon
Original prediction
Sheffield Wednesday
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 56.2% | 59.9% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.6% | 24.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.61 | 20.2% | 15.9% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 AFC Wimbledon
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Wednesday
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
Sheffield Wednesday has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60