Sheffield Wednesday U21vs
Wigan Athletic U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Wednesday U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sheffield Wednesday U21 4-1 Wigan Athletic U21
Original prediction
Sheffield Wednesday U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 47.9% | 46.0% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.6% | 24.0% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.5% | 30.0% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Wednesday U21
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Sheffield Wednesday U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00