GGOALVIO

England · Professional Development League · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheffield Wednesday U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sheffield Wednesday U21 2-2 Charlton Athletic U21

Original prediction

Sheffield Wednesday U21

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0444.3%48.1%3.9 pts
Draw4.2221.4%23.4%2.0 pts
Away2.6434.3%28.4%-5.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Sheffield Wednesday U21

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

Sheffield Wednesday U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheffield Wednesday U21WDDWW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Charlton Athletic U21WDWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sheffield Wednesday U21Charlton Athletic U21
55.6Attack44.4
77.8Defence44.4
55.6Form22.2
62.7Power40.2
2.17xG1.30
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