Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sheffield are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hallam are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheffield hold a 74.7-point power-rating edge (90.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sheffield holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sheffield
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Sheffield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/3.67