GGOALVIO

England · WSL Cup · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nottingham Forest W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sheffield United W 0-0 Nottingham Forest W

Original prediction

Nottingham Forest W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.8718.2%34.1%15.9 pts
Draw3.7223.9%25.7%1.9 pts
Away1.5357.9%40.2%-17.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-17.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Nottingham Forest W

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Nottingham Forest W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheffield United WLWLLL

GF 8 · GA 20 · avg 1.60/4.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Nottingham Forest WWDLWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sheffield United WNottingham Forest W
33.3Attack0.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
15.3Power15.3
1.86xG1.63
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