Sheffield United Wvs
Durham W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield United W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sheffield United W 4-1 Durham W
Original prediction
Sheffield United W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.8% | 36.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.1% | 28.0% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.1% | 35.9% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield United W
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Sheffield United W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 22 · avg 0.60/4.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00