GGOALVIO

England · Professional Development League · 10/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheffield United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sheffield United U21 0-1 Fleetwood Town U21

Original prediction

Sheffield United U21

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 17:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4164.5%51.9%-12.6 pts
Draw4.9218.4%24.1%5.7 pts
Away5.3217.1%24.0%6.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-12.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Sheffield United U21

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Sheffield United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheffield United U21WLWWL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Fleetwood Town U21DDWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sheffield United U21Fleetwood Town U21
61.9Attack50.0
66.7Defence45.8
61.9Form66.7
62.7Power56.6
2.20xG1.15
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