GGOALVIO

England · Professional Development League · 9/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheffield United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sheffield United U21 1-1 Cardiff City U21

Original prediction

Sheffield United U21

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7651.3%41.3%-10.0 pts
Draw4.0622.2%24.7%2.4 pts
Away3.4126.4%34.1%7.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Sheffield United U21

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Sheffield United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheffield United U21LWWLD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cardiff City U21WDWLW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sheffield United U21Cardiff City U21
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence55.6
50.0Form44.4
51.0Power54.9
1.85xG1.80
View match centre →