Sheffield United U21vs
Bolton Wanderers Res.
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolton Wanderers Res. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sheffield United U21 2-0 Bolton Wanderers Res.
Original prediction
Bolton Wanderers Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 44.0% | 31.1% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.3% | 25.7% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.8% | 43.1% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Bolton Wanderers Res.
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Bolton Wanderers Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80