Shatinvs
Kowloon City
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 9/13/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shatin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shatin 2-3 Kowloon City
Original prediction
Shatin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 33.0% | 41.9% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.1% | 24.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 41.9% | 33.6% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Shatin
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Shatin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ShatinLLW
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/3.00
BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
Kowloon CityLLLDW
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ShatinKowloon City
33.3Attack11.1
0.0Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
25.8Power10.3
2.12xG1.57