Sharjah FCvs
Dubai United
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 9/5/2026, 1:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sharjah FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sharjah FC 4-3 Dubai United
Original prediction
Sharjah FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.7% | 51.2% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 20.9% | 23.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 5.53 | 16.4% | 25.6% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Sharjah FC
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Sharjah FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20