Sharjah FCvs
Al-Jazira
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · League Cup · 10/9/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sharjah FC 0-0 Al-Jazira
Original prediction
Al-Jazira
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 27.8% | 32.6% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.5% | 25.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 46.7% | 41.5% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Al-Jazira
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40