Shangyu Pterosaurvs
Qingdao Red Lions
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qingdao Red Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shangyu Pterosaur 0-0 Qingdao Red Lions, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shangyu Pterosaur 2-1 Qingdao Red Lions
Original prediction
Qingdao Red Lions
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.53 | 19.9% | 20.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.5% | 32.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 49.7% | 46.9% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Projected Score
Shangyu Pterosaur 0–0 Qingdao Red Lions
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Qingdao Red Lions
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Qingdao Red Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60